Breaking down the cold winter, warmer summer myth

EAU CLAIRE, Wis. (WEAU)- After countless days and nights of frigid cold temperatures, many of you might be looking forward to soaking up the sun this summer.

After a colder than average winter like the one we're having this year, does it mean we can expect a warmer than average summer? It’s a question the SkyWarn 13 Weather team has been asked plenty of times.

The rationale behind the cold winter, hot summer myth is that Mother Nature has to balance things out.
But if the numbers from past years are any indicator, that’s not the case.

“For every hot summer that followed a cold winter there were five cold summers. For every hot summer that followed a cold winter there were only three near normal summers,” SkyWarn 13 Chief Meteorologist Darren Maier explained.

Maier says numbers from the National Weather service show that the cold winter, hot summer idea is just a myth.

“The number of colder and near normal summers by far outweighed the number of hot summer after a very cold winter,” Maier further explained.

Maier says the National Weather Service out of La Crosse looked at the coldest winters going back to the 1890's. When you look at the temperatures from the following summers this is what you get: Four summers are above average for temperatures, 12 are near normal and 20 are colder than average.

“I wasn't surprised because these patterns that set us up for colder than average winters occur over several months and those patterns are very hard to break down,” Maier said. “So just because the calendar says spring or summer, Mother Nature doesn't say okay now we are going to kick into a warm or hot summer those patterns take months to build up and develop.”

It’s really anyone's guess to what this summer holds temperature-wise. For more of an explanation behind the cold winter, warm summer myth SkyWarn 13 Meteorologist Matt Hoffman a further explanation in our weather notebook. You can find that by clicking on the link under related links on the side of this page.


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