LATEST FORECAST DISCUSSION
Meteorologist: Drew Williams
*NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE FINAL DAY OF WINTER, A COOLER START TO SPRING.*
The sky will remain mostly cloudy this morning and throughout the day. Temperatures are cool but comfortable this morning in the 30's for most of the area. Highs will top out near average this afternoon, around 40 degrees.
Cooler air will be returning to the state over the next few days as an upper trough develops and slides down out of Canada. This will also lead to much more cloud cover than we've been used to, as our stretch of sunny days comes to an end. A large area of high pressure system will be anchored well to our north in Canada today, while a fairly large storm is located over the Central Plains. This system will be moving due east, staying well south of our area, but we will be in between these features, leading to an easterly breeze. The day will come with more clouds than sun, and it will be cooler, with highs closer to 40. This dry easterly flow will continue at night and through Tuesday, while a bit of moisture tries to move into our area from the west. A trough will extend from the system well to the south, keeping clouds around on Tuesday. Though the flow will be dry, we may be able to squeeze out at least a few snow flakes through the day, so there is a chance for some flurries as we welcome the official start to spring. Tuesday will also be chilly, with highs only in the mid 30's.
Improvements will come for the middle of the week as the low heads for the east coast and the large high to the north begins to weaken while moving east. It will still influence our weather however, allowing for only a slow warm up the rest of the week. Wednesday will be partly sunny with highs around 40 and Thursday currently looks a bit nicer with a mostly sunny sky and highs in the mid 40's.
The end of the week will potentially bring some changes again, as another storm is forecast to develop in the Plains. This one may be further north, and could lead to our next best chance at some precipitation. We haven't had any measurable snow or rain since the first week of the month, and are now running a bit behind for March.
Timing, location and track differ in the various forecast models, which leads to low confidence at this time. Right now Friday is looking mostly dry with high pressure in Canada ridging down into the area, while moisture approaches from the west. There is a low end chance to see some rain arrive by late in the day, with a mostly cloudy sky and highs in the lower 40's. Chances appear to be better Friday night into Saturday as this system slides by to our south. Temperatures currently look to be marginally cold enough to support some wet snow, so we may end up with a mix of precipitation during this time, with highs on Saturday falling back to the upper 30's. Slow improvements will be possible heading into next Sunday.