LATEST FORECAST DISCUSSION
Meteorologist: Monica Ott
Our fair weather friend, high pressure will be temporarily controlling our weather for today helping to squeak out one lovely day full of sunshine and warmer temperatures before rain moves back in late tonight.
The high will be moving off to our east, leading to a switch in winds to the southwest. This will help temperatures get back into the mid and upper 70s (plus the sunshine is certainly helping!). This is still below average as this time of year normally sees highs in the low 80s, but certainly an improvement from the weather as of late. Hopefully you are able to take advantage of the nice, dry weather and spend a little time outside. Today will certainly be the day to do it as we won't see the completely clear sky again for at least a couple of days.
Tonight will start off mostly clear, but clouds will increase as low pressure and a warm front slide in from the west. By early Wednesday morning a few showers and storms may already be in the area. This system will be moving through the state tomorrow with clouds and numerous showers and storms. A few of the storms may become severe and the threat for heavy rainfall is increasing. Most areas can expect to see rainfall in the 0.50-1.50" range, with locally higher amounts possible. Temperatures won't be able to warm that much, with highs in the lower 70s.
As this system exits tomorrow night, some drier air will return, bringing a quieter day on Thursday. We can expect a mix of clouds and sunshine and temperatures will return to the mid 70s. Late this week another system will be monitored that is expected to develop to our south. If this comes close enough we can expect more showers and a few storms to return on Friday, while the chances will remain into Saturday as the next upper trough comes into play. Both days will remain below average with highs in the low and mid 70s. The rest of this first weekend of July will dry out with better weather expected on Sunday. It looks to be a partly sunny day with highs in the mid 70s.
The overall pattern does look to change going into next week as the pesky upper level trough finally flattens out and some ridging begins to develop in the central U.S. This would lead to a return to more typical summer temperatures closer to the low 80s. And, the first outlook toward Independence Day festivities looks pretty good for early next week...but a lot can change so we will be keeping a close eye on the forecast for fireworks!