It’s been a very quiet hurricane season in 2013. Through October 2nd, we typically have 9 named storms by this time and 4 hurricanes. We have seen 10 named storms so far, but most of them have been fairly week. The two hurricanes we’ve had this year were weak category 1 storms. Based on the intensity of this year’s 10 named storms, 2013 will go down as one of the least intense seasons since 1950.
The season is not over of course, but time is running out with the peak of hurricane season getting farther and farther behind us.
We will likely have our 11th named storm soon named Karen. There is a disturbance in the western Carribean that will track into Gulf of Mexico in the coming days. It’s likely this disturbance will only climb to tropical storm status, but will bring heavy rain to parts of the northern Gulf of Mexico.
The lack of activity this year is pretty interesting. There has been a lot of dry air over the Atlantic that has suppressed tropical development. There may be a more global-scale pattern that may be coming into play as well. Tropical development throughout the entire northern hemisphere is down 46 % from average.
It's really good this year is quiet because of the "O" name this year. My guess is Hurricane Olga would be a doozy!