June off to a warm and dry start

The heat was on this past weekend in Western Wisconsin. Highs both days for many of us were in the low 90s. On Sunday, it wasn't just hot but actually pretty muggy. Now, things are changing as far as our weather goes. Check out this surface plot from 1pm Monday afternoon. The red numbers are temperature and green numbers are dew points. The little stick looking things are wind barb showing the direction the wind is coming forming. The more barbs the windier it is.

Most of Western Wisconsin is seeing temperatures in the upper 70s and lower 80s. Not as hot as the weekend but still warm. Notice to our west though in Minnesota. Temperatures are in the 60s and even some 50s and 40s well up in North Dakota. That's a sign of things to come for tomorrow. We'll struggle to get to 70 on Tuesday, but it will be a beautiful day with plenty of sunshine.

Dew points are taking a tumble. The dew point in Eau Claire took a ten degree drop from 64 degrees at 11am to 54 degrees at noon. The 50s for dew points are quite comfortable, and they'll drop even further for Tuesday. Below is a look at dew point forecast for 1pm on Tuesday from our Skycast model. Notice they're only in the 40s.

So, yes, we are going to see a break from heat, but it will be returning by late into the week and into this weekend. Tomorrow will be the first below normal day in June since the first day of the month. As you would expect we're well above normal for the month thus far.

Something we are not above normal on is precipitation in June. There's only been measurable rain on two days in the month producing a measly .19" for the month so far. Right now we are running a deficit of over one inch for the month.

So will we get any rainfall in the extended forecast to get back on track? Well, it's possible. Rain chances look to be hit and miss starting late on Wednesday through the weekend. Forecast models show a ridge building through the weekend and even on into next week. That will mean warming temperatures back into the upper 80s by Friday with increase humidity by then as well. Also, we'll be close to a trough to our west, and small pieces of energy will lead to scattered thunderstorm development later this week into the weekend. So if you like the heat, it'll be back but it'll come with several chances of rain and storms. The good thing is no washouts would be expected. Stay tuned this will be fast changing forecast over the next several days.

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  • by Peter Effertz Location: Ames, IA on Jun 11, 2012 at 01:55 PM
    Nice forecast Matt!! Also, nice explanation of the surface plot!
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