Tropical Storm Debby getting stronger and better organized, big shift in track

This morning Tropical Storm Debby strengthened and now has winds of 60 mph. It's moving slowly to the northeast at 3 mph. It appears as if Debby is beginning to overcome the dry air and wind shear in the area. Below is a satellite image of Tropical Storm Debby from this evening. There is still not much thunderstorm convection over the center of circulation, but we are starting to see some thunderstorms wrapping around the north side. It does look better organized than the satellite image from my last blog post on Debby.

So what's going to happen with Debby? Well a big change happened to her track from earlier today. Forecast models are starting to show more of a consensus of taking Debby into the Florida panhandle coast sometime on Thursday. Looks like Debby will avoid the Louisiana coast now. The reason the forecast has been so uncertain is there are not a lot of steering winds a loft to drive the storm. That's why it's been kind of a toss up. Hopefully, now we have it pegged.

Most likely Tropical Storm Debby will remain a tropical storm, but it is possible it could become a hurricane. Below is the official forecast from the National Hurricane Center. It shows Debby ever so slowly moving north towards the Florida Coast. The NHC is forecasting Debby to remain a tropical storm mainly because of the slow movement churning the waters too much and making them cooler.

Tropical Storm Warnings, above in blue, line much of the northern Florida panhandle along with the Alabama coastline. Residents in the eastern Gulf Coast should keep an eye on Tropical Storm Debby because her forecast could continue to be adjusted.

Meanwhile, the outer band of Tropical Storm Debby have been creating issues for much of Florida where they've been seeing some very heavy rain. There's also the threat of tornadoes. Below is a look at a tornado watch for much of the state today. There already have been a dozen reports so far today. A lot of times the outer bands of tropical systems will be able to spin up tornadoes. Like in this case it's usually on the east and northeast side of the storm.


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