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SkyWarn 13 Forecast

December 21, 2014 Updated: 10:20 PM

Today is the first official day of Winter although the weather hasn't feel much like mid December. The cloudy and gray, almost dark, conditions were prevalent through out the day. A few light snow showers late this morning but as temperatures rose some we saw light rain or drizzle the rest of the afternoon. Afternoon highs topped out in the mid 30's for most thanks to winds from the southeast around 10 miles per hour. Normal highs this time of year are in the mid 20's. Some areas further to the north did see a bit more snow with the cooler air. Tonight the light rain or wintery mix will continue and low temperatures should remain slightly above freezing across most of the region overnight.

The forecast for the following days becomes somewhat complex. Low pressure will come southward from Canada and into the Plains by early next week, slowly making a beeline for Wisconsin. For now temperatures look to be just mild enough so the first part of this next system is mostly rain or a mix, not so much snow. Tonight into Monday will feature possibly more light rain and perhaps a wintry mix again at times, while it stays mild with highs well into the 30's Monday.

Late Monday into Tuesday temperatures still look to stay slightly above freezing keeping this more of a rain event. The storm will then track overhead and gradually to our east going through Tuesday. During this time we should start to see a change over to snow. Depending on how the storm comes together and its track, we may even get into a precipitation lull on Tuesday, leading to not much of anything, but with the atmosphere gradually cooling down, whatever does full from that point forward, is expected to be snow. The storm will shift further east on Wednesday, while merging with another system from the south or just strengthening on its own (the models are still iffy on this whole scenario), but either way it looks to provide some light snow on the backside Wednesday. This would lead to at least light accumulations and a good shot for that white Christmas. Bottom line, there is a little uncertainty in the forecast. Lots of factors to consider, where will this system track, when will it get here and what type of precipitation are we likely to see? Of course we'll keep you updated here and on WEAU-TV as this next storm approaches.

Ultimately, the storm looks to exit by Christmas, leaving us mostly cloudy and dry Thursday, while somewhat colder air arrives from the north. It looks like we won't be able to put our guard down for long though, as forecast models are indicating another storm may track up this way from the southwest giving us another chance at snow chances next Friday. Conditions look to dry up some as we approach next weekend but temperatures will take a sharp decline with overnight lows in the single digits and afternoon highs in the teens.

Have a great holiday week everyone!

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